4 Comments

I can see Ukraine taking years. No one wants to occupy a hostile country.So Russia could fight until Ukraine has run out of fighting men.The question then is how long we will support the Ukrainian war.

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The government line at the start was that it’d be fixed circa summer 2023. They keep subtly pushing back that timeline endlessly. I suspect even if Ukraine loses in the ground, they’ll be armed and encouraged to keep lobbing missiles and drones into occupied territory for years or even decades. We’ve wilfully created our very own Kashmir in Europe. The folly of it is so immense I can hardly compute

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It may come down to the willingness of Ukrainians to die for fear of their own government. Morale is important. The fall of Avdeevka will definitely affect the troops, maybe more than Bakhmut. If the Russian's add the hill city of Chasiv Yar, they open major opportunity. They're also slowly taking over the forest east of Lyman. What's left of Donetsk province, still in Ukrainian hands, could be attacked from 3 directions by middle of the year.

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Russia ran out of missiles over a year ago. What we're seeing on TV is A.I. created explosions. Putin's dead. He's just a deep fake controlled by a never-trafficked-before teen girl working for Jamie Dimon. I thought 'Servant of the People' was a miniseries, but now I've falling into that trap of watching its neverending soapieness on CBS. Who will fuck who next? The cast is taking turns. I need a shrink... or the truth.

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